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S&P 500 (^GSPC)

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Bullish Falling Wedge, converging just in time for oil prices to crash, meaning lower inflation expectations. This is good. Now if Biden will wake up from his nap and encourage companies to allow more workers to work from home to lower oil/gas prices, that'll have the most impact on inflation right now.

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/sCn5cbJvanPp8qrm8

    $SPY
    $^GSPC
  • Z
    Zigo
    $^IXIC conversation
    Bear trap. Higher lows. Short term bottom in.

    $^gspc
  • Z
    Zigo
    $^IXIC conversation
    Allow me to explain for those who are still perplexed. Inflation and fear of Fed rate hikes caused an orderly sell off for 6 months. Now recession talks have killed oil, and with it, inflation eventually, big time. Oil is crashing today, leading to the indices to go down, except the Nasdaq because cheap oil is good for tech. Oil going sky high was just a scam anyways, unless Putin stops all oil to Europe. But, China and India buying from Russia means there's more oil from OPEC and other sources not being bought. It's a zero sum game. Oil tanking, inflation going down as a result + a bullish Falling Wedge pattern on the 3 month chart = massive rally coming. Consider yourselves warned.

    $spy
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  • Z
    Zigo
    $^IXIC conversation
    Historically, the stock market usually sells off in a bear market about a year (give or take a few months) BEFORE a recession actually hits. WHEN a recession actually hits, the stock market selling accelerates with massive seller capitulation, worse than now. It's then that you be a hero and can buy for much, much cheaper. Since the bear market started 6 months ago, we have anywhere from 6-12 months more selling in a bear market (lower highs, lower lows), until the recession actually hits in early or mid 2023. The selling isn't done yet because the recession hasn't even come yet, meaning don't be a hero now and try to catch a falling knife, or you will get hurt, badly. All rallies are to be sold or shorted. You just wait, the recession WILL come.

    Putin and Xi aren't done destroying the supply side with his war against Ukraine to wipe it off the map and steal their land, and Xi's zero COVID lockdowns. It can be argued China's getting cheap oil from Russia so they can continue these lockdowns to hurt the West/US in a silent economic war. The Feds only option is to destroy the demand side of the SUPPLY = DEMAND equation to bring the two in balance. The Feds HAVE to induce a recession to fix inflation.

    An even scarier scenario is Putin stops all oil and gas exports to Europe. Global oil prices will sky rocket above $200. Russia will continue to sell oil to India and China at discounted rates, which is fetching higher oil revenues now than before the invasion of Ukraine! Global recession follows in months.

    The 1970s and 80s oil shocks and inflation led to an entire decade of the stock market being stagnant, whereas in Japan, their stock market has not recovered for over 40 years! FORTY YEARS!!! Even in the good US of A, after the 1999 pump and dump, the market didn't recover for around 15 years. It recovered in 2008 only to fall even deeper before recovering a few years later, after the Feds went to basically zero rates.

    In other words, as long as the Feds keep raising rates in a high inflation environment, the euphoric rallies of the past will be used for selling the rips and new bag holders tricked by big banks like JPMorgan so they can dump on you.

    By the time this is all said and done, I wouldn't be surprised to see $spy in the low 300s or high 200s (.i.e. the S&P $^gspc in the 2800-3200 range), and the Nasdaq in the 5-8K range. $amzn, $aapl, etc. will not be immune.
  • Z
    Zigo
    $^IXIC conversation
    Looks like 52 week lows coming. Lower highs, lower lows. Better hope major 8000 Nasdaq support holds. After 8000, very minor support at 7000 and then the next support is 5000.

    Also, better hope S&P $^gspc 3200 holds ($spy 320). If that doesn't hold, 2800 is the last major support before 2000 ($spy 200)
  • M
    Mike Weiss
    $^IXIC conversation
    Where are the buyers? They are nowhere to be found, so going lower...

    .

    $^dji $^gspc $aapl $msft $amzn $goog $meta $snap $tsla $rivn $amd $nvda $twtr
  • R
    Ramihac
    $^GSPC conversation
    43,544 reactions on $^GSPC
    conversation
  • R
    Redhaw2000
    $^IXIC conversation
    Market is forward looking. It don't care that inflation is here. It only cares that inflation is getting lower. Market already sold off. Bullish Ascending Triangle on the 5+ day chart. It's been trading in range, ready for lower CPI tomorrow. The chart formation says we go green today back to the upper range of the trading channel. Tomorrow, we sky rocket, and shorts will panic cover with longs FOMO chasing.

    $spy
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  • B
    Bob
    $^IXIC conversation
    If inflation comes in lower than estimated, expect a massive rally. If it comes in very high, obviously a selloff, but should recover next week from China reopening anticipation. If it comes in a little higher than estimated, it might sell off initially but then rally to close green in anticipation of China's reopening and markets accepting Feds raising rates and assessing later this summer. Trend appears to be up, despite the volatility.

    Also, if the UN gets Russia to agree to allow Ukrainian food exports in return for allowing Russian and Belarusian potash and fertilizer exports, expect the market to rally too. Wheat needs to be exported soon or it'll go bad in a few months at most.

    If inflation starts going lower throughout summer, this very well could be the lows this year.

    $^GSPC
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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    MASSIVE short squeeze about to begin. Bear market bottomed. Going above the prior highs from this week signals to all legit traders that the trend will continue up. Nasdaq to 13.5K and S&P will simply follow the Nasdaq. If those resistance levels do not hold, we'll see the all time highs again before a year's time, possibly much less.

    $AMZN
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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Anyone initiated a short position, or panic sold near the lows??? Trend is up. Don't fight the trend. Buy the dip instead.

    $SPY
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  • Z
    Zigo
    $^IXIC conversation
    I warned you guys. Falling Wedge formation means big axx bounce in the near term.

    $^gspc
    $spy
  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Never fight the sentiment. When sentiment is down, bad or good news, markets sell off. When sentiment is up, good or bad news, markets rise. The market is anticipating Feds raising rates fast, and then slowing down in late summer to assess the situation. Coupled with China reopening and Europe working with some Middle Eastern countries to secure oil and gas to wean off Russia, markets will rally hard. Russia will lose the war.

    $^GSPC
    $SPY
  • O
    OSDA
    $^IXIC conversation
    DON'T LET THEM TAKE YOUR MONEY!

    $SPY
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  • B
    Bob
    $^IXIC conversation
    Best week since Nov 2020, and shorts lost an entire month of gains in a few days. Ouch. They're still shorting. I guess they want to lose 2 months of gains, assuming they had any.

    $^GSPC
    $SPY
  • B
    Bob
    $^IXIC conversation
    I love the perma bears here. The reason the market will keep ripping is there's a lot of longs on the side line, not having a clue the bottom is in, and even more shorts who keep shorting. They'll FOMO panic buy and cover at huge losses for weeks, undoing any profit they may have had since the downturn started.

    Remember, the market is forward looking. If inflation is the same, or going up with each report, then yeah I'd be worried. But inflation has gone down 2 months in a row, signaling smart people to cover (like me), and go long (like me), or for sideline longs to jump back in.

    The WORST thing you as a long is sell out from fear, not buy lower to gain more shares, waiting for the share prices to go ABOVE where you sold, then and only then, FOMO buy for LESS shares. And then... panic sell when the market goes down a little. Great way to lose money.

    $^GSPC
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  • B
    Bob
    $^IXIC conversation
    Lunch time is over, rally continues. That's bullish. Plus, with China reopening, and Feds doing only 2 rates increases and pausing, this is good news because it lowers inflation, but allows the market a breather to come to realization we've oversold. New stronger hands in, weak hands out. Once Putin is taken out, market will rally even harder.

    $SPY
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  • R
    Redhaw2000
    $^IXIC conversation
    Futures blood red. No surprises LMAO

    $SPY
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  • B
    Bob
    $^IXIC conversation
    Panic buying and covering for the next few weeks as China reopens and inflation starts trending down. Minimum Nasdaq 13K and S&P 4.4K. And if inflation continues to die down over time to 2% as some expects it to by mid 2023, we could very well have seen the lows of the year as stocks recover back to the all time highs again.

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Shorts are sooo in deep dooo dooo. We haven't even seen the short squeeze yet.

    $SPY
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